J

Start Year

CI Lower Bound

Estimated Global Trend

CI Upper Bound

VF on Global Trend

VF on test SH = NH = 0

5

2009

−0.7800

−0.1992

0.3815

4.9457

10.7215

6

2008

−0.5481

0.1349

0.8179

1.6388

0.8505

7

2007

−0.3829

0.0451

0.4731

0.4669

2.1173

8

2006

−0.2858

0.0259

0.3376

0.2897

2.9083

9

2005

−0.3121

−0.0464

0.2192

1.2830

7.6291

10

2004

−0.2147

−0.0199

0.1750

0.4371

2.9538

11

2003

−0.2218

−0.0516

0.1187

3.8551

9.8512

12

2002

−0.2184

−0.0684

0.0817

8.7247

5.5605

13

2001

−0.1715

−0.0541

0.0634

8.9095

4.4892

14

2000

−0.1262

−0.0034

0.1194

0.0322

0.6432

15

1999

−0.1114

0.0273

0.1659

1.6247

0.8209

16

1998

−0.1569

−0.0455

0.0660

6.9916

3.5254

17

1997

−0.0975

−0.0109

0.0757

0.6657

1.8102

18

1996

−0.0813

0.0225

0.1263

1.9751

6.0081

19

1995

−0.0694

0.0295

0.1283

3.7330

6.4918

20

1994

−0.0623

0.0521

0.1665

8.7136

8.3488

21

1993

−0.0625

0.0865

0.2354

14.1598

12.9572

22

1992

−0.0605

0.1181

0.2966

18.3772

15.4799

23

1991

−0.0413

0.1139

0.2691

22.6313

19.4612

24

1990

−0.0258

0.1106

0.2469

27.6416

23.7481

25

1989

−0.0120

0.1242

0.2605

34.9387

29.3777

26

1988

−0.0005

0.1184

0.2373

41.6345

35.4573

27

1987

0.0064

0.1106

0.2147

47.3827

42.9785

28

1986

0.0203

0.1204

0.2204

60.8263

49.2883

29

1985

0.0322

0.1357

0.2391

72.2039

52.1000

30

1984

0.0408

0.1449

0.2490

81.3904

55.7195